Playing the 6/42 produces a positive EV! This means that you can actually earn if you bet on it, given the assumptions!

**Betting on the 6/42 lotto, with thrice the probability of winning**

If you did not choose the 6/42 lotto, the inverse of the Possibility Effect called the Certainty Effect may have affected you. In these instances, the certainty of a certain event is under weighted. A great example of punters understanding this value are Paul Simmons and John Carter, as stated in article. They have studied statistically, the probability of a hole-in-one happening in a golf tournament. They have calculated that this will happen at around 44%. However, the bookmakers in UK have quoted that the odds of this event happening higher, with as much as 100-1 [3]. Since these punters have seen the value of this bet, they have placed maximum bets on different bookmakers in UK and they have been reported to win around 1 million pounds (around 75 million pesos).

**Important points to consider**

A Golden Rule: **always calculate the EV**. You might fall in these pitfalls:

**1. Clouding of emotions **

Vividness of your favorite team winning may give you bias. Always remember that you should see the value of the bet. For example, in the odds given below, your favorite team may be Monarcas and you really think they will win. However, you may want to check the AH odds that may give Tiburones a greater advantage in terms of EV because of the handicap given.

Table 3. The NBA Championship Outright Market from Megasportsworld.com